Levi’s Stadium will host the 2024 NFC Championship Game on Sunday, with the Detroit Lions and San Francisco 49ers battling for a spot in Super Bowl 58. Sunday will mark the third all-time playoff meeting between the two franchises, and the Lions are seeking their first-ever Super Bowl appearance after winning the NFC North this season. The 49ers are participating in a record 19th conference championship matchup and playing at home in Santa Clara as a No. 1 seed in the NFL playoff bracket.
Kickoff is at 6:30 p.m. ET in Santa Clara. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the 49ers as seven-point favorites, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 51 in the latest Lions vs. 49ers odds. Before you make any Lions vs. 49ers picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the conference championship round of the 2024 NFL playoffs on an incredible 184-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 38-21 roll on top-rated picks since Week 7 of last season and nailed seven straight top-rated picks entering the 2024 NFL playoffs.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Lions vs. 49ers and just locked in its picks and NFL playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Lions vs. 49ers:
- Lions vs. 49ers spread: 49ers -7
- Lions vs. 49ers over/under: 51 points
- Lions vs. 49ers money line: 49ers -336, Lions +261
- DET: Lions are 7-2 against the spread in road games
- SF: 49ers are 3-6 against the spread in home games
- Lions vs. 49ers picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Lions vs. 49ers live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the Lions can cover
Lions quarterback Jared Goff has thrown for 564 yards and three touchdowns without a turnover in two playoff games, averaging 8.1 yards per attempt and completing a league-leading 74.3% of passes. The Lions are scoring more than 27 points per game in two postseason contests, and that comes after a regular season in which Detroit was in the top five in points per game, points per drive, yards per game, yards per drive, yards per play, and first downs.
Goff is in total command of the passing game, ranking in the top four in passing yards (4,575), pass completions (407), passing touchdowns (30), and sack rate (4.72%) this season. He was also firmly in the top 10 in yards per attempt (7.6), completion rate (67.3%), and passer rating (97.9). The Lions turn lengthy drives into touchdowns at an impressive rate, ranking No. 3 in red zone efficiency (64.1%) during the regular season. With only 31 sacks allowed in 17 regular season games, Detroit also stays ahead of the chains and allows its playmakers to capitalize. See which team to pick here.
Why the 49ers can cover
While there is some injury uncertainty with star wide receiver Deebo Samuel (shoulder) as kickoff approaches, the 49ers are still stocked with highly effective skill position weapons. Christian McCaffrey is arguably the most dominant skill player in the NFL today, leading the NFL in rushing yards (1,459) by more than a 200-yard margin over the field. McCaffrey also led the league in yards per carry (5.4) by a running back while sitting atop the NFL in total touchdowns (21) and yards from scrimmage (2,023).
Receiver Brandon Aiyuk had seven 100-yard receiving games this season, the most for any 49er since Jerry Rice in 1995. Aiyuk also ranked No. 2 in the NFL with 17.9 yards per reception and had the seventh-most receiving yards (1,342) in the league. At the tight end spot, George Kittle is a five-time Pro Bowl selection and was named as a first team All-Pro in 2023. Kittle led all tight ends with 1,020 receiving yards this season and produced 81 receiving yards and a touchdown in the Divisional Round victory over the Packers. See which team to pick here.
How to make Lions vs. 49ers picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under the point total, with no pass-catcher projected to generate more than 85 receiving yards. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Lions vs. 49ers in the 2024 NFC Championship Game, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Lions vs. 49ers spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception, and find out.
